Google Finance Adds AI Features Powered by Prediction Market Data
Key Points
- Google Finance teams up with Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction‑market data.
- AI features let users ask finance questions and receive crowd‑sourced probability answers.
- Responses may include graphs and charts based on the latest market bets.
- Only 12.7 percent of crypto wallets on Polymarket show profits, underscoring risk.
- Rollout starts in India this week and reaches U.S. users within the next few weeks.
- Early access is available via the Google Labs page.
- Google does not guarantee the accuracy of the predictions.
Google is expanding its Finance service with AI-driven capabilities that draw on crowdsourced prediction data from Kalshi and Polymarket. The new features let users ask finance‑related questions, such as future GDP growth, and receive answers that incorporate the latest market probabilities. The rollout begins in India and will reach U.S. users within the next few weeks, with early access available through Google Labs. Google emphasizes that the predictions are not guaranteed to be accurate, noting that only a small share of crypto wallets on Polymarket show profits.
New Partnership with Prediction Markets
Google Finance is partnering with two leading online prediction platforms, Kalshi and Polymarket, to bring fresh crowdsourced data into its AI‑driven financial tools. These markets allow people to place bets on a wide range of outcomes, from product releases to macroeconomic indicators.
How the Feature Works
When users type a finance‑related question—such as "What will GDP growth be for 2025?"—the service pulls the latest probability figures from the partnered prediction markets. Google then uses this data to generate responses that may include graphs and charts based on the collective bets of market participants. The company notes that the system does not guarantee accuracy, and it highlights that only 12.7 percent of crypto wallets on Polymarket show profits.
Rollout Timeline
The updated AI features are being introduced to all U.S. users in the next few weeks, following an initial debut in India this week. Users who wish to experience the tools sooner can opt in through the Google Labs page.
User Access and Expectations
Google positions the integration as a way to leverage the "wisdom of crowds" for financial insight, while reminding users that predictions are inherently uncertain. The service aims to provide a new way for people to explore financial scenarios, but it does not make promises about the correctness of the outcomes.